Physics Predictions & Odds· 197 markets
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
$102k Vol.
$140k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$102k Vol.$140k Liq.Ends in 30 days
42%
Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$944k Vol.
$55k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$944k Vol.$55k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
15%
Habshan Field/Processing Complex
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?
$13k Vol.
$28k Liq.
7
Ends in 5 days
$13k Vol.$28k Liq.7Ends in 5 days
26%
Yes
0%
Yes
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$357k Vol.
$102k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$357k Vol.$102k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
3%
Citigroup
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
$353k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ended
$353k Vol.$13k Liq.Ended
2%
Yes
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$125k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$125k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
20%
December 31
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
$25k Vol.
$20k Liq.
3
Ends in 30 days
$25k Vol.$20k Liq.3Ends in 30 days
11%
Yes
0%
Yes
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
$145k Vol.
$9k Liq.
32
Ended
$145k Vol.$9k Liq.32Ended
0%
Yes
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
$54k Vol.
$59k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$54k Vol.$59k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
42%
15s+
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
$40k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$40k Vol.$11k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
57%
Yes
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$23k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$23k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
0%
Yes
Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
$195k Vol.
$15k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months
$195k Vol.$15k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
83%
Patrick Mahomes
US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$22k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$22k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026
