Physics Predictions & Odds· 195 markets
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
$99k Vol.
$156k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$99k Vol.$156k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
44%
Ras Tanura
27%
Habshan Field/Processing Complex
Eric Adams arrested by March 31?
$16k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours
$16k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$355k Vol.
$97k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$355k Vol.$97k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
3%
Scotiabank
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?
$137k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in about 7 hours
$137k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$142k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$142k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
21%
December 31
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$933k Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$933k Vol.$89k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
$351k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$351k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
$25k Vol.
$17k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$17k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes
Les Wexner arrested by March 31?
$20k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$20k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
$54k Vol.
$71k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$54k Vol.$71k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
42%
15s+
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
$144k Vol.
$10k Liq.
32
Ends in about 7 hours
$144k Vol.$10k Liq.32Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
$40k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$40k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?
$69k Vol.
$764 Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours
$69k Vol.$764 Liq.2Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$26k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$26k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?
$221 Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 days
$221 Vol.$2k Liq.1Ends in 5 days
12%
Yes
1%
Yes
US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$26k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$26k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026
Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
$195k Vol.
$19k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months
$195k Vol.$19k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
89%
Jack Antonoff
Either Tate brother arrested by...?
$1k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$1k Vol.$4k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
23%
June 30