Proposition 50 Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$47k Liq.
14
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$47k Liq.14Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$8k Liq.
-1
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$8k Liq.-1Ends in 3 months
69%
Yes
93%
Democratic Party
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 7 months
79%
Yes
93%
Democratic Party
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
93%
Democratic Party
94%
Democratic Party
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
27%
Yes
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
$756 Vol.
$691 Liq.
Ended
$756 Vol.$691 Liq.Ended
1%
Yes
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$230k Vol.
$27k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$230k Vol.$27k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
85%
Yes
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$30k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$30k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
47%
US x Iran Ceasefire
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$932k Vol.
$8k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$932k Vol.$8k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
52%
December 31
What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)
$0 Vol.
$396 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$0 Vol.$396 Liq.Ends in 3 days
63%
Sam / Altman
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$293 Vol.
$428 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$293 Vol.$428 Liq.Ends in 7 months
16%
Yes
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$4k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 5 days
85%
Epic Fury
Politics
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
$20k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$20k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
Politics
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$198 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$198 Liq.Ends in 9 months
48%
Yes
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
62%
Yes