Recall Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?
$125k Vol.
$14k Liq.
21
Ends in about 8 hours
$125k Vol.$14k Liq.21Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
$100k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 8 hours
$100k Vol.$9k Liq.1Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes
Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
$45k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 8 hours
$45k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$43k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes
45%
Yes
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$3k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 5 days
90%
Sunday
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
$75k Vol.
$124k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$75k Vol.$124k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
17%
Dong Jun
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$7k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 5 days
72%
Happy Easter
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
$14k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$14k Vol.$54k Liq.Ends in 19 days
69%
PP–DB
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$299k Vol.
$38k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$299k Vol.$38k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
What will Trump say in April?
$14k Vol.
$35k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
$14k Vol.$35k Liq.11Ends in about 1 month
93%
Jesus
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
$20k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$20k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
70%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$450k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$450k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Esports · league of legends
LoL: Conviction vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season
$6 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$6 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 4 days
82%
Conviction
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
39%
160-179
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 8 hours
$1k Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in about 8 hours
42%
<15 minutes
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$16k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$16k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026