Regulations Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
W
0%
Yes
U
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
W
9%
Isfahan nuclear facility
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$16k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$16k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
39%
April 30
M
46%
Yes
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$73k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$73k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
46%
Yes
J
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
$48k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$48k Vol.$10k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
W
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$357k Vol.
$100k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$357k Vol.$100k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
3%
Scotiabank
S
26%
December 31
F
74%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$154 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$154 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 10 days
32%
60-79
A
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
$27k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$8k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
F
84%
Pause–Pause–Pause
F
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
S
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$932k Vol.
$9k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$932k Vol.$9k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
53%
December 31
S
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
$14k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
39%
Yes
T
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
W
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$948k Vol.
$62k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$948k Vol.$62k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$596k Vol.
$35k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$596k Vol.$35k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
15%
↑ $4