Regulatory Affairs Predictions & Odds· 140 markets

17%
Yes

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$931k Vol.
$9k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$931k Vol.$9k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
56%
December 31

Which banks will fail by June 30?
$355k Vol.
$96k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$355k Vol.$96k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
3%
Citigroup

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
$202k Vol.
$17k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$202k Vol.$17k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes

Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$4k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 3 months
64%
June 30

45%
Yes

94%
April 30

Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
$19k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 22 hours
84%
60-79

Robinhood self-certifies sports event contract by March 31?
$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
3
Ends in about 6 hours
$4k Vol.$1k Liq.3Ends in about 6 hours
1%
Yes

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 4 days
40%
60-79

What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?
$3k Vol.
$784 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$784 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
35%
Multichain

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
$20k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$20k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
70%
Yes

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$578 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
47%
60-79

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$154k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
$154k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 22 hours
68%
160-179

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
39%
160-179

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes

