Repo Rate Predictions & Odds· 113 markets

S
South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?

South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?

$4k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

63%

No Change

P
People's Bank of China rate change in April?

People's Bank of China rate change in April?

$8k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

95%

No Change

R
Reserve Bank of India decision in April

Reserve Bank of India decision in April

$11k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

99%

No Change

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$717k Vol.
$108k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$412k Vol.
$92k Liq.
36
Ends in 26 days

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$124k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

W
Will SOFR hit __ in April?

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

$2k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

100%

↓3.66%

F
Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$3.2m Vol.
$297k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

80%

No change

B
Bank of Israel Decision in July?

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

$0 Vol.
$226 Liq.
Ends in 3 months

51%

No Change

R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

73%

Increase

R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?

$22k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

60%

Increase

P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$107k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

75%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

F
Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$45.9m Vol.
$4.4m Liq.
🔥$2.2m today
39
Ends in 26 days

98%

No change

F
Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$5.3m Vol.
$991k Liq.
🔥$100k today
22
Ends in 3 months

90%

No change

F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$74k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

16%

Yes

M
March Unemployment Rate

March Unemployment Rate

$159k Vol.
$39k Liq.
🔥$115k today
Ends in about 10 hours

38%

4.4%

F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.3m Vol.
$184k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months

64%

December Meeting

S
South African Reserve Bank Decision in March?

No Change

S
South African Reserve Bank Decision in January?

No Change

P
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?

$120k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No