Rewards 100 4pt5 20 Predictions & Odds· 158 markets

H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 13-19)

21%

40-49

$14k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
T
Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

92%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$24k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
B
Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

93%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$14k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 19?

30%

8-11

$6k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

26%

0-10

$101k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
E
Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

37%

Finland

$89.0m Vol.
$14.1m Liq.
🔥$2.3m today
370
Ends in about 1 month
P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

58%

70-75%

$102k Vol.
$19k Liq.
🔥$53k today
10
Ended
N
Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

88%

Mette Frederiksen

$7.6m Vol.
$255k Liq.
141
Ended
N
Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

68%

Janez Janša

$2.6m Vol.
$130k Liq.
141
Ended
Q
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 15?

QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 15?

48%

Up

$10k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
T
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

28%

Paxton 9%+

$53k Vol.
$61k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

66%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$6.5m Vol.
$889k Liq.
86
Ends in 9 months
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?

71%

4.5-5.0%

$397k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
U
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

19%

1.0–1.5%

$307k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of April?

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

93%

Anthropic

$8.0m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$446k today
Ends in 14 days
W
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

92%

Anthropic

$1.1m Vol.
$232k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

39%

1.5T-2.0T

$1.8m Vol.
$101k Liq.
7
W
Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

70%

Anthropic

$6k Vol.
$99k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

32%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$25k Vol.
$80k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

59%

Anthropic

$712 Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months