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W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Geopolitics·Khamenei

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

$450k Vol.
$27k Liq.
51
Ends in 3 months

84%

Yes

M
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Climate & Science·Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.5m Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

97%

↑2k

U
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

Politics·Tariffs

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

$1.2m Vol.
$25k Liq.
29
Ended

99%

5–15%

M
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?

Measles · Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?

$41k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

90%

1800

U
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by...?

Politics·iraq

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by...?

$384k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ended

16%

April 30

M
Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

Climate & Science·Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

$393k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ended

1%

1600

U
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

World·Mexico

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

$1.4m Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

28%

June 30

U
U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?

Politics·Israel

U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?

$55k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ended

0%

Yes

W
Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?

Geopolitics·Iran

Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?

$47k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ended

0%

Yes

U
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

Politics·U.S. x Iran

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

$110k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ended

2%

Yes

U
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

Geopolitics·Oil

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

$11k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

40%

Yes

W
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?

Politics·Iran

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?

$101k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ended

1%

Yes

U
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?

Politics·Trump

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?

$142k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ended

1%

Yes

U
U.S. Ambassador to Poland out by March 31?

Politics · Geopolitics

U.S. Ambassador to Poland out by March 31?

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ended

0%

Yes

U
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

Politics·mencho

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

$52k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

57%

June 30

U
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?

Politics·Middle East

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?

$419k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

30%

Yes

V
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Shimizu S-Pulse

Sports · Japan J League

V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Shimizu S-Pulse

$107 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

37%

Shimizu S-Pulse

W
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?

Culture·Sports

Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?

$8k Vol.
$296 Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months

13%

Yes

U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

Politics·Trump-Putin

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$582k Vol.
$9k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months

13%

Yes

U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Politics·AI

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$73k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

44%

Yes