Sama Altman Predictions & Odds· 121 markets
L
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$280k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$280k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1.4m Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in over 1 year
$1.4m Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in over 1 year
75%
$800B
G
83%
December 31, 2026
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
$243k Vol.
$9k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$243k Vol.$9k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
W
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
$57k Vol.$7k Liq.1Ends in over 1 year
96%
SpaceX
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$252k Vol.
$2k Liq.
31
Ended
$252k Vol.$2k Liq.31Ended
32%
Yes
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
$114k Vol.
$5k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$114k Vol.$5k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
40%
Necklace
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$51k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
57%
Anthropic
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in over 1 year
74%
SpaceX
O
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
W
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$93k Vol.
$16k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$93k Vol.$16k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
37%
Yes
W
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 months
37%
Yes
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$102k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
O
12%
Yes
W
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
$545k Vol.
$49k Liq.
22
Ends in 9 months
$545k Vol.$49k Liq.22Ends in 9 months
34%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
W
What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)
$376 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$376 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
91%
Trump
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$6k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$6k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
S
Sports · Japan J2 League
Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Thespa Gunma
$0 Vol.
$89 Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$0 Vol.$89 Liq.Ends in 16 days
50%
Shōnan Bellmāre