Secretary Of Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

$17k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

6%

Yes

H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

45%

Yes

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

$11k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

17%

Yes

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

$23k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

31%

Yes

R
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

23%

Yes

W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

$899 Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

32%

Pete Hegseth

W
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$43k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 11 days

1%

Yes

T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

$7k Vol.
$882 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

65%

December 31, 2026

H
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

$4 Vol.
$686 Liq.
Ends in 27 days

43%

20 - 25 minutes

T
Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

$135k Vol.
$29k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months

54%

June 30

W
Who will Trump pick for Homeland Security Secretary?

Other

K
Kristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by…?

December 12

M
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by...?

Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by...?

$26k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 27 days

April 30

W
Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?

Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months

Other

K
Kristi Noem out by March 31?

Kristi Noem out by March 31?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
24
Ended

Yes

W
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

$23.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,045
Ended

Pam Bondi

W
Who will Trump pick for HHS Secretary?

RFK Jr.

W
Who will be Trump's Health & Human Services Secretary?

RFK Jr.

W
Who will Trump pick for Interior Secretary?

Who will Trump pick for Interior Secretary?

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

Doug Burgum

W
When will DHS receive full-year funding?

When will DHS receive full-year funding?

$295k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

February 28

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