Secretary Of Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

5%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$11k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
W
When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

37%

After April 30

$796k Vol.
$122k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

46%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
H
How long will the DHS shutdown last?

99%

52+ days

$1.3m Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ended
R
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

24%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

27%

Tulsi Gabbard

$5k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

1%

Yes

$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

65%

December 31, 2026

$7k Vol.
$906 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
H
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

44%

25 - 30 minutes

$4 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
T
Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

37%

June 30

$152k Vol.
$48k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump pick for Homeland Security Secretary?

Other

$97k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
K
Kristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by…?

December 12

$43k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
M
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by...?

April 30

$26k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 25 days
W
Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?

Other

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
K
Kristi Noem out by March 31?

Yes

$0 Vol.
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24
Ended
W
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Pam Bondi

$23.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,045
Ended
W
Who will Trump pick for HHS Secretary?

RFK Jr.

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will be Trump's Health & Human Services Secretary?

RFK Jr.

$2.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended
W
Who will Trump pick for Interior Secretary?

Doug Burgum

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
When will DHS receive full-year funding?

February 28

$295k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended