Secretary Of Labor Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

47%

Yes

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RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

24%

Yes

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US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

35%

Yes

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How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

43%

20 - 25 minutes

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Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

5%

Yes

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W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

33%

Tulsi Gabbard

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How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

47%

5.0%

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W
Who will Trump pick for Labor Secretary?

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

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Which Senators will vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer?

John Curtis

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Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Pam Bondi

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Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?

Tim Ryan

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Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?

No

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Who will Trump pick for Treasury Secretary?

Scott Bessent

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Who will Trump pick for HUD Secretary?

Other

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Who will Trump pick for HHS Secretary?

RFK Jr.

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Who will Trump pick for Secretary of State?

Marco Rubio

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Who will Trump pick for Commerce Secretary?

Other

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