Secretary Of Treasury Predictions & Odds· 111 markets
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?
$74k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
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1%
Yes
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
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$553 Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$553 Liq.19Ends in 3 months
31%
Yes
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
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$166k Liq.
🔥$62k today
Ends in 9 months
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58%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Karoline Leavitt out by March 31?
$41k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in about 4 hours
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0%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
$284k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
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0%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$6k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$51k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$51k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
8%
Yes
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
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Ends in about 1 month
$2 Vol.$654 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
44%
<15 minutes
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
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1
Ends in about 4 hours
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84%
25 - 30 minutes
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
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9
Ends in 9 months
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5%
Yes
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
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$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$36k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 3 months
37%
Yes
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
$243k Vol.
$22k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
$243k Vol.$22k Liq.33Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
Politics · Economy
US defaults on debt by 2027?
$15k Vol.
$24k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$24k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Scott Bessent
No
Trump Presidency · Trump
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?
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90
Ended
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No announcement by December 31
Pam Bondi