Silicon Data Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?
$311k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$311k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
62%
↑ $2.75
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$143 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$143 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
22%
December 31, 2026
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
9%
Up
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$13k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
2%
Yes
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 11 months
80%
Up
8%
Yes
45%
Yes
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$102k Vol.
$14k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$102k Vol.$14k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$3k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
35%
Yes
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$1k Vol.
$742 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$1k Vol.$742 Liq.Ends in 1 day
46%
↓ 42000
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 year
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in about 1 year
12%
Yes
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$7k Liq.
32
Ended
$241k Vol.$7k Liq.32Ended
44%
December 31, 2026
26%
Yes
53%
Up
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 8 days
32%
<5
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$18k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$18k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
44%
1