Surveillance Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$4k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 19 days
63%
Yes
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in 3 months
28%
June 30
Science · Pandemics
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
$7k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$7k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 3 days
96%
80–85
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
$52k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$52k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
57%
June 30
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
45%
Yes
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?
$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$9k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$814 Liq.
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$3k Vol.$814 Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
2%
↓ 20100
What will Bitcoin outperform in April?
$7k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$60k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
56%
S&P 500
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$101k Vol.
$15k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$101k Vol.$15k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
18%
April 30
1%
Yes
What will Bitcoin outperform in March?
$93k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$93k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
99%
Gold
What price will Ethena hit in March?
$96k Vol.
$176k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$96k Vol.$176k Liq.Ends in 1 day
13%
↓ 0.08
Epstein client list released by...?
$3.9m Vol.
$24k Liq.
666
Ends in 3 months
$3.9m Vol.$24k Liq.666Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?
$23k Vol.
$935 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$23k Vol.$935 Liq.Ends in 1 day
48%
↓ 18600
Les Wexner arrested by March 31?
$20k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$20k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes