Surveillance Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
$4k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 20 days
66%
Yes
Science · Pandemics
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
$7k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$7k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 4 days
96%
80–85
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in 3 months
28%
June 30
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
$51k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$51k Vol.$41k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
57%
June 30
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$24k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$24k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
47%
Yes
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?
$6k Vol.
$16k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$16k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
44%
April 30
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$1000 Liq.
2
Ends in about 14 hours
$3k Vol.$1000 Liq.2Ends in about 14 hours
2%
Yes
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$100k Vol.
$14k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$100k Vol.$14k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
17%
April 30
2%
Yes
Epstein client list released by...?
$3.9m Vol.
$31k Liq.
666
Ends in 3 months
$3.9m Vol.$31k Liq.666Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Les Wexner arrested by March 31?
$20k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$20k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
0%
Yes
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$18k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$18k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$5k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$578 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
43%
60-79
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$20k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$20k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
35%
Yes
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 4 days
41%
60-79