Taoiseach Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

D
Dublin-Central By-Election Winner

Dublin-Central By-Election Winner

$763k Vol.
$81k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

77%

Daniel Ennis

G
Galway-West By-Election Winner?

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

$20k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 12 months

38%

Noel Thomas

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$50k Vol.
$9k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days

19%

Yes

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$12k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

49%

Yes

V
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

$13k Vol.
$19k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

16%

Yes

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.5m Vol.
$356k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

64%

Orbán - Hungary PM

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$543k Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$122k today
177

20%

Yes

Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$456 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

39%

60-79

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

$26k Vol.
$240k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

7%

Yes

M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.5m Vol.
$416k Liq.
🔥$161k today
258
Ends in 3 months

59%

>$600M

E
Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

$1k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months

19%

Yes

M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

$1.9m Vol.
$40k Liq.
89
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$911 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

37%

140-159

B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$207k Vol.
$66k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months

41%

Lula da Silva <5%

Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

55%

80-99

U
United Rugby Championship: Munster vs Ulster

Sports · Games

United Rugby Championship: Munster vs Ulster

$0 Vol.
$114 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

50%

Munster

W
What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

$62k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

96%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

E
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

$323k Vol.
$31k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

N
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

$112.4m Vol.
$20.8m Liq.
🔥$3.6m today
36
Ends in 9 months

40%

December 31

E
European Rugby Champions Cup: Leinster vs Edinburgh

Sports · Games

European Rugby Champions Cup: Leinster vs Edinburgh

$89 Vol.
$281 Liq.
Ends in 10 days

64%

Leinster