Taoiseach Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

D
Dublin-Central By-Election Winner

Dublin-Central By-Election Winner

$763k Vol.
$104k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

76%

Daniel Ennis

G
Galway-West By-Election Winner?

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

$20k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 12 months

38%

Noel Thomas

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$51k Vol.
$8k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days

18%

Yes

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$14k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

53%

Yes

V
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

$13k Vol.
$19k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

16%

Yes

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.5m Vol.
$356k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

63%

Orbán - Hungary PM

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$638k Vol.
$22k Liq.
🔥$123k today
220

97%

Yes

M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.6m Vol.
$442k Liq.
🔥$163k today
259
Ends in 3 months

65%

>$600M

W
Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

$40k Vol.
$112k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

51%

Lee Zeldin

M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

$1.9m Vol.
$41k Liq.
89
Ends in 3 months

2%

Yes

B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$207k Vol.
$70k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months

41%

Lula da Silva <5%

Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

39%

100-119

Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$17k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours

65%

60-79

E
Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months

16%

Yes

U
United Rugby Championship: Munster vs Ulster

Sports · Games

United Rugby Championship: Munster vs Ulster

$0 Vol.
$171 Liq.
Ends in 30 days

50%

Munster

W
What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

$62k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

96%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

$73k Vol.
$312k Liq.
🔥$62k today
Ends in about 2 months

7%

Yes

E
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

$323k Vol.
$31k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

N
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

$112.9m Vol.
$19.8m Liq.
🔥$717k today
36
Ends in 9 months

40%

December 31

E
European Rugby Champions Cup: Leinster vs Edinburgh

Sports · Games

European Rugby Champions Cup: Leinster vs Edinburgh

$89 Vol.
$333 Liq.
Ends in 10 days

67%

Leinster