Trans Predictions & Odds· 466 markets

H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

66%

20-24

W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$612k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ended

2%

20+

W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$8k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

65%

20+

H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

59%

30-34

1
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

$52k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ended

1%

Yes

H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)

18%

25-29

2
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

$129k Vol.
$19k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months

9%

Yes

U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$560 Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months

36%

Yes

A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

$1.6m Vol.
$50k Liq.
1
Ended

97%

0-10

A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$333k Vol.
$54k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 days

86%

0-10

A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$12k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

37%

0-10

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.6m Vol.
$98k Liq.
🔥$144k today
105
Ends in 30 days

16%

Yes

W
Which club will Cristiano Ronaldo play for next?

Cristiano Ronaldo · transfer

Which club will Cristiano Ronaldo play for next?

$33k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months

28%

LA Galaxy

K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$9.5m Vol.
$423k Liq.
🔥$563k today
216
Ends in about 19 hours

38%

June 30

U
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

$2.3m Vol.
$248k Liq.
🔥$117k today
126
Ended

30%

April 30

W
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$31.0m Vol.
$290k Liq.
🔥$81k today
1
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

$679k Vol.
$149k Liq.
🔥$80k today
20
Ends in 30 days

28%

United States

B
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

$376k Vol.
$37k Liq.
🔥$58k today
40
Ends in 30 days

30%

April 30

M
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?

$1.0m Vol.
$117k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months

32%

December 31

A
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?

$19k Vol.
$48k Liq.
7
Ends in 5 days

23%

Yes