Trans Predictions & Odds· 459 markets
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)
$40k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$40k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 2 days
38%
30-34
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$651k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ended
$651k Vol.$50k Liq.Ended
3%
20+
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$23k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$23k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in 27 days
42%
20+
2
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$130k Vol.
$35k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
$130k Vol.$35k Liq.12Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
1
0%
Yes
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$212 Liq.
26
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$212 Liq.26Ends in 3 months
46%
Yes
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$380k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$380k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
98%
0-10
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ended
$1.6m Vol.$44k Liq.Ended
99%
0-10
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$31k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$31k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in 27 days
40%
0-10
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$2.1m Vol.
$221k Liq.
🔥$189k today
Ends in 27 days
$2.1m Vol.🔥$189k today$221k Liq.Ends in 27 days
13%
Yes
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
$29k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$29k Vol.$38k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
37%
Yes
W
Cristiano Ronaldo · transfer
Which club will Cristiano Ronaldo play for next?
$33k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
$33k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 5 months
35%
Los Angeles FC (LAFC)
K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$11.2m Vol.
$462k Liq.
🔥$570k today
232
Ended
$11.2m Vol.🔥$570k today$462k Liq.232Ended
28%
June 30
U
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.6m Vol.
$136k Liq.
🔥$98k today
131
Ended
$2.6m Vol.🔥$98k today$136k Liq.131Ended
23%
April 30
W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$777k Vol.
$181k Liq.
🔥$55k today
25
Ends in 27 days
$777k Vol.🔥$55k today$181k Liq.25Ends in 27 days
12%
United States
A
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?
$179k Vol.
$102k Liq.
20
Ends in 2 days
$179k Vol.$102k Liq.20Ends in 2 days
12%
Yes
B
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$477k Vol.
$65k Liq.
43
Ends in 27 days
$477k Vol.$65k Liq.43Ends in 27 days
21%
April 30
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
$9.2m Vol.
$197k Liq.
264
Ends in 9 months
$9.2m Vol.$197k Liq.264Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
W
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$31.1m Vol.
$438k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$31.1m Vol.$438k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$74k Vol.
$83k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$83k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
31%
December 31