Transit Predictions & Odds· 135 markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$112k Liq.
🔥$58k today
102
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$58k today$112k Liq.102Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$426k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ended
$426k Vol.$50k Liq.Ended
54%
20-24
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$603k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$603k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
4%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$13k Liq.Ended
50%
30-34
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$6k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
67%
20+
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$632k Vol.
$131k Liq.
🔥$397k today
15
Ends in about 1 month
$632k Vol.🔥$397k today$131k Liq.15Ends in about 1 month
43%
United States
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$65k Liq.
🔥$308k today
Ends in about 12 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$308k today$65k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$324k Vol.
$58k Liq.
🔥$226k today
Ends in 4 days
$324k Vol.🔥$226k today$58k Liq.Ends in 4 days
80%
0-10
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$112k Liq.
🔥$172k today
121
Ends in about 12 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$172k today$112k Liq.121Ends in about 12 hours
30%
April 30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$330k Vol.
$90k Liq.
🔥$62k today
32
Ends in about 1 month
$330k Vol.🔥$62k today$90k Liq.32Ends in about 1 month
38%
April 30
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
38%
0-10
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?
$73k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 12 hours
$73k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 12 hours
0%
Yes
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in about 12 hours
$50k Vol.$11k Liq.4Ends in about 12 hours
1%
Yes
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$129k Vol.
$27k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$27k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$121k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$121k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
99%
March 30
34%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$92k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$92k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$33k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
70%
April 1
Will Prince Andrew record an interview by March 31?
$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$2k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
2%
Yes
counter strike 2 · Sports
Will FalleN retire by June 1?
$1k Vol.
$952 Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$1k Vol.$952 Liq.1Ends in 2 months
20%
Yes