Transit Predictions & Odds· 166 markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$82k Liq.
🔥$66k today
102
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$66k today$82k Liq.102Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$440k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ended
$440k Vol.$35k Liq.Ended
60%
20-24
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$605k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$605k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
7%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$18k Liq.Ended
43%
30-34
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$7k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
65%
20+
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$647k Vol.
$142k Liq.
🔥$370k today
16
Ends in about 1 month
$647k Vol.🔥$370k today$142k Liq.16Ends in about 1 month
28%
United States
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$55k Liq.
🔥$247k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$247k today$55k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$326k Vol.
$47k Liq.
🔥$197k today
Ends in 3 days
$326k Vol.🔥$197k today$47k Liq.Ends in 3 days
80%
0-10
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$149k Liq.
🔥$181k today
122
Ends in about 9 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$181k today$149k Liq.122Ends in about 9 hours
28%
April 30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$334k Vol.
$91k Liq.
🔥$56k today
33
Ends in about 1 month
$334k Vol.🔥$56k today$91k Liq.33Ends in about 1 month
37%
April 30
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
36%
0-10
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?
$73k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 9 hours
$73k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in about 9 hours
$50k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$129k Vol.
$18k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$18k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$127k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$127k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
92%
March 24
34%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$91k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$91k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$33k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
70%
April 1
Will Prince Andrew record an interview by March 31?
$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$2k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
counter strike 2 · Sports
Will FalleN retire by June 1?
$1k Vol.
$947 Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$1k Vol.$947 Liq.1Ends in 2 months
20%
Yes