Transit Predictions & Odds· 166 markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$116k Liq.
🔥$64k today
101
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$64k today$116k Liq.101Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$436k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ended
$436k Vol.$42k Liq.Ended
52%
15-19
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$604k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$604k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
4%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$14k Liq.Ended
39%
25-29
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$7k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
67%
20+
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$637k Vol.
$139k Liq.
🔥$388k today
15
Ends in about 1 month
$637k Vol.🔥$388k today$139k Liq.15Ends in about 1 month
34%
United States
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$61k Liq.
🔥$287k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$287k today$61k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$326k Vol.
$47k Liq.
🔥$227k today
Ends in 3 days
$326k Vol.🔥$227k today$47k Liq.Ends in 3 days
80%
0-10
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$117k Liq.
🔥$177k today
122
Ends in about 11 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$177k today$117k Liq.122Ends in about 11 hours
28%
April 30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$331k Vol.
$91k Liq.
🔥$60k today
33
Ends in about 1 month
$331k Vol.🔥$60k today$91k Liq.33Ends in about 1 month
37%
April 30
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$48k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
37%
0-10
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?
$73k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 11 hours
$73k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in about 11 hours
$50k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$129k Vol.
$27k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$27k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$122k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$122k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
100%
March 30
34%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$91k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$91k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$33k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
71%
April 1
Will Prince Andrew record an interview by March 31?
$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$2k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes
counter strike 2 · Sports
Will FalleN retire by June 1?
$1k Vol.
$952 Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$1k Vol.$952 Liq.1Ends in 2 months
20%
Yes