Un Predictions & Odds· 1460 markets

K
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

$55k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

W
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

$35k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ended

66%

Rafael Grossi

W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$79.5m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$335k today
206
Ends in 9 months

65%

Delcy Rodríguez

W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

$2.1m Vol.
$217k Liq.
🔥$117k today
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

I
Israel military action against Gaza on...?

Israel military action against Gaza on...?

$1.3m Vol.
$21k Liq.
🔥$106k today
Ended

92%

March 31

G
Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

$77k Vol.
$42k Liq.
2
Ends in 27 days

17%

April 30

I
Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$69k Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

95%

April 2

I
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$107k Vol.
$674k Liq.
Ended

100%

March 28

W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

$135k Vol.
$238k Liq.
Ends in 6 months

6%

Yes

W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

$167k Vol.
$228k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year

21%

Yes

I
Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

$49k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

99%

April 1

U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

$2.3m Vol.
$37k Liq.
122
Ends in 9 months

11%

December 31, 2026

I
Israel military action against Gaza on...?

Israel military action against Gaza on...?

$13k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

57%

April 7

H
How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

$29k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

45%

3

I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

$14k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

99%

April 1

W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

$3k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year

14%

Yes

U
Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

$142k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ended

9%

April 30

I
Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

$172k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ended

44%

March 28