United Nations Predictions & Odds· 124 markets
46%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$359k today$536k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$320k Liq.
🔥$303k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$303k today$320k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
$10.6m Vol.
$3.9m Liq.
🔥$118k today
Ends in about 12 hours
$10.6m Vol.🔥$118k today$3.9m Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
0%
Yes
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$96k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.9m Vol.$96k Liq.Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$1.1m Liq.71Ends in 9 months
45%
Mojtaba Khamenei
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
$107k Vol.
$140k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
$107k Vol.$140k Liq.Ends in 6 months
7%
Yes
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$26k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
3%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$93k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$93k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
$88k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$88k Vol.$12k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
33%
Yes
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
$152k Vol.
$211k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$152k Vol.$211k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
21%
Yes
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
$16k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$16k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
North Korea missile test/launch by April 15?
$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$1k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 16 days
56%
Yes
What will Bitcoin outperform in April?
$7k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
56%
S&P 500
What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?
$23k Vol.
$897 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$23k Vol.$897 Liq.Ends in 1 day
45%
↓ 17800
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?
$5 Vol.
$161 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$5 Vol.$161 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
↑ $3.00
8%
Yes
2%
↓ 20100
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
24
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.24Ends in 9 months
59%
December 31, 2026