Un Predictions & Odds· 1472 markets

K
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

$55k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

9%

Yes

W
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

$35k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ended

69%

Rafael Grossi

W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

I
Israel military action against Gaza on...?

Israel military action against Gaza on...?

$1.5m Vol.
$47k Liq.
🔥$340k today
Ended

1%

Yes

V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$79.7m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$285k today
203
Ends in 9 months

68%

Delcy Rodríguez

W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

$2.2m Vol.
$306k Liq.
🔥$114k today
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

I
Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$127k Vol.
$76k Liq.
🔥$69k today
Ends in 27 days

95%

April 3

G
Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

$95k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 27 days

22%

April 30

I
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$109k Vol.
$752k Liq.
Ended

100%

March 28

I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

$29k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

97%

April 2

I
Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

$61k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

81%

April 4

I
Israel military action against Gaza on...?

Israel military action against Gaza on...?

$20k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

57%

April 8

W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

$9k Vol.
$97k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year

13%

Yes

W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

$172k Vol.
$234k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year

21%

Yes

W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

$136k Vol.
$303k Liq.
Ends in 6 months

6%

Yes

H
How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

$31k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

46%

3

I
Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

$173k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ended

38%

March 29

I
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$14k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

96%

April 1

U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

$2.3m Vol.
$44k Liq.
122
Ends in 9 months

11%

December 31, 2026

U
Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

$142k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ended

9%

April 30