Uptspt Government Predictions & Odds· 1709 markets

W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

76%

Social Democrats (SD)

W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

97%

Moderates

N
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

13%

Yes

A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$254k Vol.
$25k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months

84%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

U
UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

$19 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

39%

Up

2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$54k Vol.
$34k Liq.
19
Ends in 8 months

87%

Kuomintang (KMT)

K
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

$35k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

2%

Yes

W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

$78k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

51%

Palantir

M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

$97k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

33%

December 31, 2026

U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$81.5m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$7.5m today
1,412

73%

December 31

N
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

$112.4m Vol.
$20.9m Liq.
🔥$4.2m today
36
Ends in 9 months

40%

December 31

H
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

$55.7m Vol.
$920k Liq.
🔥$3.4m today
131
Ends in 9 days

70%

TISZA

N
Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

$44.0m Vol.
$2.9m Liq.
🔥$1.9m today
117
Ends in 9 days

67%

Péter Magyar

I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$12.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
371
Ended

87%

December 31

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

$18.2m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
1
Ends in 27 days

3%

Yes

T
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

$11.0m Vol.
$524k Liq.
🔥$1.4m today
214
Ends in 3 months

78%

June 30

B
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

$36.9m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
3,809
Ends in 6 months

45%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

N
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

$27.1m Vol.
$2.9m Liq.
🔥$874k today
370
Ends in about 1 year

30%

Édouard Philippe

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$25.0m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$800k today
12
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

2
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

$11.1m Vol.
$750k Liq.
🔥$789k today
18
Ends in 2 months

82%

Chong Won-oh