Uptspt Government Predictions & Odds· 1802 markets

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

85%

Democrats (D)

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

98%

Moderates

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$210k Vol.
$28k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months

83%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

$31k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

3%

Yes

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

$94k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

35%

December 31, 2026

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

$76k Vol.
$31k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

49%

Palantir

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$18k Vol.
$41k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months

87%

Kuomintang (KMT)

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

$89.2m Vol.
$4.6m Liq.
🔥$6.0m today
33
Ends in 9 months

44%

December 31

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$58.2m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$4.0m today
3
Ends in about 7 hours

0%

Yes

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$63.6m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$3.1m today
1,264

73%

December 31

Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by...?

$18.3m Vol.
$5.3m Liq.
🔥$1.6m today
424
Ends in about 1 month

83%

June 30

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

$50.2m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$1.2m today
104
Ends in 12 days

67%

TISZA

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

$23.8m Vol.
$2.9m Liq.
🔥$1.2m today
358
Ends in about 1 year

28%

Édouard Philippe

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

$9.0m Vol.
$699k Liq.
🔥$870k today
16
Ends in 2 months

80%

Chong Won-oh

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

$33.7m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$790k today
3,670
Ends in 6 months

42%

Flávio Bolsonaro

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

$39.5m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$652k today
2
Ends in 12 days

65%

Péter Magyar

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

$5.5m Vol.
$193k Liq.
🔥$622k today
2
Ends in 9 months

28%

5

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$22.8m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$525k today
3
Ends in 3 months

16%

Yes

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

$2.5m Vol.
$11k Liq.
🔥$484k today
1
Ends in about 7 hours

90%

March 30