Uptspt Government Predictions & Odds· 2830 markets

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$18k Vol.
$29k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months

87%

Kuomintang (KMT)

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

$62k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in about 6 hours

98%

Yes

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

98%

Moderates

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$6k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

39%

160-179

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$627 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

44%

Yes

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$336k Vol.
$18k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months

62%

5.0%

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

23%

Yes

Hungary Parliamentary Election:  Popular Vote Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner

$164k Vol.
$40k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days

74%

Tisza

March Inflation US - Monthly

March Inflation US - Monthly

$514k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

89%

≥0.8%

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

$232k Vol.
$38k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month

25%

December 31

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

$76k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

49%

Palantir

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

32%

Yes

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$100k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

$820k Vol.
$85k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

47%

≥3.4%

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

$233k Vol.
$13k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month

8%

April 30

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

$109k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours

2%

Yes

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

$17k Vol.
$10k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

$4.4m Vol.
$177k Liq.
111
Ends in 6 months

70%

United Russia (ER)

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

$14k Vol.
$47k Liq.
3
Ends in 12 days

35%

JP