Uptspt Government Predictions & Odds· 2830 markets

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$29k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$29k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in about 6 hours
$62k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in about 6 hours
98%
Yes

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?
$22k Vol.
$25k Liq.
3
Ended
$22k Vol.$25k Liq.3Ended
98%
Moderates

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$6k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 8 days
39%
160-179

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$627 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$627 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
44%
Yes

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$336k Vol.
$18k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$18k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
62%
5.0%

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner
$164k Vol.
$40k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$164k Vol.$40k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
74%
Tisza

89%
≥0.8%

SAVE Act becomes law by...?
$232k Vol.
$38k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$232k Vol.$38k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
25%
December 31

Which companies will the US take a stake in?
$76k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$76k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
49%
Palantir

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$9k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 15 days
32%
Yes

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)
$820k Vol.
$85k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$820k Vol.$85k Liq.Ends in 10 days
47%
≥3.4%

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$233k Vol.
$13k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
$233k Vol.$13k Liq.10Ends in about 1 month
8%
April 30

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$109k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$109k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
2%
Yes

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$13k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17k Vol.
$10k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$10k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$4.4m Vol.
$177k Liq.
111
Ends in 6 months
$4.4m Vol.$177k Liq.111Ends in 6 months
70%
United Russia (ER)

35%
JP
