US Bank Predictions & Odds· 105 markets
I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$4.0m Vol.
$849k Liq.
🔥$234k today
Ended
$4.0m Vol.🔥$234k today$849k Liq.Ended
100%
Bahrain
I
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$231k Vol.
$810k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$231k Vol.$810k Liq.Ends in 27 days
100%
Bahrain
W
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
$155k Vol.
$146k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$155k Vol.$146k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
65%
Stefan Brodie
M
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
W
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$358k Vol.
$96k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$358k Vol.$96k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
2%
Deutsche Bank
F
75%
Pause–Pause–Pause
H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$41k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
60+
U
Games · Sports
U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets
$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$3k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
F
84%
Pause–Pause–Pause
W
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 3 months
92%
Thom Tillis
U
US recession by end of 2026?
$1.0m Vol.
$66k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months
$1.0m Vol.$66k Liq.63Ends in 10 months
34%
Yes
F
98%
Pause–Pause–Pause
U
35%
800–900B
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$214 Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$214 Liq.29Ends in 3 months
47%
Yes
A
Economy · Politics
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
30%
Yes
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$58k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$58k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
U
Politics · Economy
US defaults on debt by 2027?
$15k Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$26k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
U
US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?
$1k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 27 days
$1k Vol.$8k Liq.1Ends in 27 days
6%
Yes