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US Bank Predictions & Odds· 107 markets

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U
US bank failure by April 30?

Economy·Business

US bank failure by April 30?

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

18%

Yes

I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Politics·Iran

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

$4.0m Vol.
$848k Liq.
🔥$230k today
Ended

100%

Bahrain

I
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Geopolitics·U.S. x Iran

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

$231k Vol.
$805k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

100%

Bahrain

W
Will SOFR hit __ in April?

Economy·Interest Rate

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

$2k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

100%

↓3.66%

W
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$155k Vol.
$150k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months

65%

Stefan Brodie

M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

W
Which banks will fail by June 30?

Finance·Business

Which banks will fail by June 30?

$358k Vol.
$95k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months

2%

Deutsche Bank

H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

Politics·Trump

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

$41k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

34%

54

U
U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

Games · Sports

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$717k Vol.
$108k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

W
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Politics·Congress

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

$72k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

92%

Thom Tillis

U
US recession by end of 2026?

Economy·Economic Policy

US recession by end of 2026?

$1.0m Vol.
$66k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months

34%

Yes

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$412k Vol.
$90k Liq.
36
Ends in 26 days

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

U
US Trade Deficit in 2026?

Economy·Trump

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

$1k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

35%

800–900B

U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

Economy·Trump

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$217 Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months

28%

Yes

A
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · Politics

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

30%

Yes

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

Geopolitics·Trump

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$103k Vol.
$57k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months

54%

US x Iran Ceasefire

U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

Politics · Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

$15k Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

U
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy Paul

Tennis · Sports

US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy Paul

$250 Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

33%

Tomas Etcheverry

W
Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Ireland Women vs USA Women - Team Top Batter

Games · Cricket

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Ireland Women vs USA Women - Team Top Batter

$66 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended