US Employment Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
17%
Yes
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$336k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$21k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
62%
5.0%
26%
50k – 100k
29%
4.4%
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$147 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$147 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$12k Liq.
27
Ends in about 7 hours
$312k Vol.$12k Liq.27Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
9%
Up
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 11 months
$5k Vol.$4k Liq.2Ends in 11 months
12%
Yes
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 11 months
80%
Up
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 7 hours
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
34%
800–900B
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$8k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
February Unemployment Rate - Japan
$35k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$35k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
56%
2.7%
Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?
$35k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in about 7 hours
$35k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
45%
Yes
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
$24k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
$733k Vol.
$9k Liq.
147
Ends in about 7 hours
$733k Vol.$9k Liq.147Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes