US Iran Predictions & Odds· 346 markets
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$7.7m Vol.
$284k Liq.
🔥$328k today
157
Ends in 3 months
$7.7m Vol.🔥$328k today$284k Liq.157Ends in 3 months
67%
June 30
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
$4.9m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$156k today
Ends in 9 months
$4.9m Vol.🔥$156k today$1.3m Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31
US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$22k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$22k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
$1.5m Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$1.5m Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
1%
Yes
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$361k Vol.
$202k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$361k Vol.$202k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
57%
Pakistan
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$126k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$126k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
14%
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$906k Vol.
$22k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months
$906k Vol.$22k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
34%
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
$445k Vol.
$39k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$445k Vol.$39k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
50%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$62.5m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$2.8m today
1,237
$62.5m Vol.🔥$2.8m today$1.4m Liq.1,237
73%
December 31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1.1m Vol.
$58k Liq.
🔥$60k today
Ends in about 14 hours
$1.1m Vol.🔥$60k today$58k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
76%
June 30
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
30%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$60k Vol.
$15k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$60k Vol.$15k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
52%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$96k Vol.
$46k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$96k Vol.$46k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
48%
US x Iran Ceasefire
US forces enter Iran by..?
$52.9m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$8.0m today
4,902
$52.9m Vol.🔥$8.0m today$1.7m Liq.4,902
79%
December 31
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$466k Vol.
$77k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$466k Vol.$77k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?
$177k Vol.
$7k Liq.
89
Ends in about 1 month
$177k Vol.$7k Liq.89Ends in about 1 month
25%
April 30
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
$351k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$351k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
2%
Yes