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US Military Predictions & Odds· 165 markets

AllSportsPoliticsGazaStrikeIranTrumpMiddle EastIsraelVenezuelaChinaPalestineMilitary ActionsHouthisXi JinpingYemenMexicoGeopoliticsSoccerTrump PresidencyGreenlandForeign PolicyKurdsWorldXiFIFA World CupKhameneiUS IranNigeriaCubaISISShoot DownEl PasoMexico Cartel WarMenchoIran RegimeMilitary StrikesU.S. X IranIsrael X IranKurdishRewards 100, 4.5, 100Selective ServiceConscript
U
US military draft authorized in 2026?

Politics·Trump

US military draft authorized in 2026?

$80k Vol.
$20k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

13%

Yes

U
US forces enter Iran by..?

Geopolitics·Trump

US forces enter Iran by..?

$57.7m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$5.7m today
5,483

70%

December 31

W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Geopolitics·Khamenei

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

$450k Vol.
$29k Liq.
51
Ends in 3 months

84%

Yes

U
US strikes Yemen by...?

Politics·Trump

US strikes Yemen by...?

$373k Vol.
$8k Liq.
13
Ended

2%

Yes

U
US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?

Geopolitics·shoot down

US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?

$19k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ended

1%

Yes

H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

Politics·Foreign Policy

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

$717k Vol.
$98k Liq.
35
Ends in 9 months

34%

7

U
US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

Politics·Venezuela

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

$1.3m Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

14%

June 30

I
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?

Geopolitics·Sports

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?

$179k Vol.
$7k Liq.
91
Ends in 30 days

25%

April 30

U
U.S. strike on Nigeria by...?

Politics·Nigeria

U.S. strike on Nigeria by...?

$281k Vol.
$422 Liq.
34
Ends in 3 months

19%

June 30

U
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

$38k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

25%

Yes

U
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

Geopolitics·Kurds

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

$234k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 30 days

9%

April 30

U
US announces military support of Kurds by...?

Geopolitics·Kurdish

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

$483k Vol.
$9k Liq.
41
Ends in 30 days

40%

April 30

U
US x Russia military clash by...?

Politics·Trump Presidency

US x Russia military clash by...?

$583k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months

10%

December 31, 2026

U
US x China Military clash before 2027?

Politics·China

US x China Military clash before 2027?

$53k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

U
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Politics·Trump

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

$60k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

42%

Yes

U
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

World·Greenland

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

$26k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

M
Military action against Iran ends on...?

Politics·strike

Military action against Iran ends on...?

$41k Vol.
$176k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

58%

Military action through April 30

M
Military action against Iran ends by...?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Military action against Iran ends by...?

$29k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

44%

April 16

M
Military action against Iran ends on...?

Politics·Iran

Military action against Iran ends on...?

$3.0m Vol.
$85k Liq.
🔥$58k today
1
Ended

100%

Military action through March 31

M
Military action against Iran ends by...?

Politics·Middle East

Military action against Iran ends by...?

$262k Vol.
$55k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

78%

June 30