Volcanic Eruption Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$20k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months
$38k Vol.$20k Liq.9Ends in 12 months
11%
Yes
H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$677k Vol.
$16k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months
$677k Vol.$16k Liq.9Ends in 12 months
45%
1
N
30%
Yes
M
53%
Yes
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$140k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
N
41%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$653k Vol.
$19k Liq.
🔥$137k today
227
$653k Vol.🔥$137k today$19k Liq.227
98%
Yes
1
7%
Yes
5
42%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$51k Vol.
$8k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days
$51k Vol.$8k Liq.14Ends in 27 days
18%
Yes
Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$617 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$617 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 7 days
38%
60-79
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$1k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 4 days
40%
100-119
K
Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$2k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 7 days
39%
<5
M
Weather · earthquake
Megaquake by June 30?
$37k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$37k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 3 months
20%
Yes
K
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 4 days
39%
15-19
1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 3 months
56%
≤8
W
Crypto
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?
$16k Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$16k Vol.$6k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
87%
50
A
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$250 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$250 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 27 days
73%
April 30