Alon Predictions & Odds· 348 markets

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.5m Vol.
$370k Liq.
🔥$580k today
215
Ends in about 22 hours
$9.5m Vol.🔥$580k today$370k Liq.215Ends in about 22 hours
38%
June 30

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.8m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$266k today
72
Ends in 7 months
$15.8m Vol.🔥$266k today$1.6m Liq.72Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$675k Vol.
$149k Liq.
🔥$93k today
19
Ends in 30 days
$675k Vol.🔥$93k today$149k Liq.19Ends in 30 days
27%
United States

Will edgeX launch a token by ___?
$628k Vol.
$73k Liq.
🔥$69k today
54
Ends in 9 months
$628k Vol.🔥$69k today$73k Liq.54Ends in 9 months
100%
September 30, 2026

Will Opensea launch a token by ___?
$1.3m Vol.
$88k Liq.
57
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.$88k Liq.57Ends in 9 months
63%
December 31, 2026

Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$359k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$359k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM

Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?
$28k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$28k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 3 months
23%
June 30

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
$9.1m Vol.
$149k Liq.
265
Ends in 9 months
$9.1m Vol.$149k Liq.265Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
$364k Vol.
$146k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$364k Vol.$146k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
5%
June 30

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
$241k Vol.
$34k Liq.
3
Ends in 30 days
$241k Vol.$34k Liq.3Ends in 30 days
23%
April 30

Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?
$81k Vol.
$12k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$81k Vol.$12k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
51%
September 30, 2026

NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$132k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$132k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
20%
December 31

Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?
$153k Vol.
$12k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$153k Vol.$12k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
62%
December 31 2026

Will fomo.family launch a token by ___ ?
$585k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$585k Vol.$14k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
17%
September 30, 2026

37%
December 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$436k Vol.
$25k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
$436k Vol.$25k Liq.12Ends in about 1 month
52%
May 15

Will QFEX launch a token by ___?
$46k Vol.
$23k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
$46k Vol.$23k Liq.1Ends in almost 2 years
54%
March 31, 2027

Will Exponent launch a token by ___?
$106k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$106k Vol.$9k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
69%
December 31, 2026

Will Nansen launch a token by ___?
$191k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$191k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
28%
December 31, 2026
