Alon Predictions & Odds· 347 markets
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.2m Vol.
$363k Liq.
🔥$632k today
215
Ends in 1 day
$9.2m Vol.🔥$632k today$363k Liq.215Ends in 1 day
44%
June 30
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$647k Vol.
$130k Liq.
🔥$385k today
16
Ends in about 1 month
$647k Vol.🔥$385k today$130k Liq.16Ends in about 1 month
30%
United States
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.7m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$325k today
72
Ends in 7 months
$15.7m Vol.🔥$325k today$1.7m Liq.72Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$406k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$406k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Will edgeX launch a token by ___?
$599k Vol.
$61k Liq.
47
Ends in 9 months
$599k Vol.$61k Liq.47Ends in 9 months
100%
June 30, 2026
43%
December 31, 2026
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?
$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$28k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
22%
June 30
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
$237k Vol.
$46k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$237k Vol.$46k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
21%
April 30
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$435k Vol.
$22k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$435k Vol.$22k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
52%
May 15
Will Opensea launch a token by ___?
$1.3m Vol.
$111k Liq.
56
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.$111k Liq.56Ends in 9 months
63%
December 31, 2026
Will MegaETH launch a token by ___?
$234k Vol.
$25k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$234k Vol.$25k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
69%
December 31, 2026
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
$362k Vol.
$150k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$362k Vol.$150k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
June 30
Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?
$148k Vol.
$16k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$148k Vol.$16k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
60%
December 31 2026
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
$59k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$59k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in 9 months
50%
December 31
Will QFEX launch a token by ___?
$41k Vol.
$22k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
$41k Vol.$22k Liq.1Ends in almost 2 years
53%
September 30, 2027
Will GMGN launch a token by ___ ?
$99k Vol.
$8k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$99k Vol.$8k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
28%
December 31, 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$119k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$119k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
21%
December 31
40%
December 31, 2026
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
$9.1m Vol.
$156k Liq.
264
Ends in 9 months
$9.1m Vol.$156k Liq.264Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes