Alon Predictions & Odds· 483 markets

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.3m Vol.
$360k Liq.
🔥$636k today
211
Ends in 1 day
$9.3m Vol.🔥$636k today$360k Liq.211Ends in 1 day
44%
June 30

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$657k Vol.
$139k Liq.
🔥$235k today
16
Ends in about 1 month
$657k Vol.🔥$235k today$139k Liq.16Ends in about 1 month
27%
United States

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.7m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$228k today
69
Ends in 7 months
$15.7m Vol.🔥$228k today$1.7m Liq.69Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh

Will edgeX launch a token by ___?
$613k Vol.
$66k Liq.
🔥$58k today
50
Ends in 9 months
$613k Vol.🔥$58k today$66k Liq.50Ends in 9 months
100%
June 30, 2026

Will Opensea launch a token by ___?
$1.3m Vol.
$92k Liq.
57
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.$92k Liq.57Ends in 9 months
62%
December 31, 2026

Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$400k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$400k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM

Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 3 months
23%
June 30

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
$238k Vol.
$42k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$238k Vol.$42k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$435k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$435k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
53%
May 15

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
$61k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$61k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 9 months
48%
December 31

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
$362k Vol.
$101k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$362k Vol.$101k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
June 30

Will QFEX launch a token by ___?
$46k Vol.
$23k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
$46k Vol.$23k Liq.1Ends in almost 2 years
55%
March 31, 2027

Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?
$81k Vol.
$12k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$81k Vol.$12k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
54%
September 30, 2026

Will MegaETH launch a token by ___?
$237k Vol.
$28k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$237k Vol.$28k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
69%
December 31, 2026

37%
December 31, 2026

Will fomo.family launch a token by ___ ?
$325k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$325k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
16%
September 30, 2026

Will Nansen launch a token by ___?
$191k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$191k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
28%
December 31, 2026

NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$122k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$122k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
20%
December 31

Will Exponent launch a token by ___?
$106k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$106k Vol.$9k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
70%
December 31, 2026
