Artifical Intelligence Predictions & Odds· 311 markets
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$6k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$6k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$46k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 28 days
$46k Vol.$14k Liq.3Ends in 28 days
16%
Yes
A
20%
Yes
A
62%
Yes
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$51k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
57%
Anthropic
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$73k Vol.
$9k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$73k Vol.$9k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
45%
Yes
O
12%
Yes
A
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$5k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$5k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
32%
Yes
W
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$15k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$15k Vol.$61k Liq.Ends in 28 days
85%
Anthropic
W
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$853k Vol.
$155k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$853k Vol.$155k Liq.Ends in 28 days
90%
Anthropic
W
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$9k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$9k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 28 days
50%
T
30%
June 30
M
51%
Yes
C
6%
Yes
W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$71k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$71k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
W
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
$23k Vol.
$42k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$42k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
O
77%
Yes
W
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
$18k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$18k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 days
97%
Terrorist
W
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
$33k Vol.
$16k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$33k Vol.$16k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
T
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes