Ayatollah Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$210k Liq.
🔥$126k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$126k today$210k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
48%
December 31
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$733k Vol.
$83k Liq.
61
Ends in about 1 month
$733k Vol.$83k Liq.61Ends in about 1 month
9%
June 30
What will Trump say in April?
$16k Vol.
$36k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
$16k Vol.$36k Liq.11Ends in about 1 month
93%
Jesus
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
65%
Go ahead 5+ times
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?
$1.1m Vol.
$399k Liq.
47
Ends in about 5 hours
$1.1m Vol.$399k Liq.47Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$815k Liq.
70
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$815k Liq.70Ends in 9 months
49%
Mojtaba Khamenei
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$466k Vol.
$47k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$466k Vol.$47k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 8 days
35%
<5
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
$708k Vol.
$41k Liq.
117
Ends in about 1 month
$708k Vol.$41k Liq.117Ends in about 1 month
37%
May 31
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 4 days
87%
<20
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$27k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
$27k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 21 hours
92%
<20
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$88k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$88k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?
$24k Vol.
$102 Liq.
43
Ends in about 5 hours
$24k Vol.$102 Liq.43Ends in about 5 hours
46%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$29k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$13k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
39%
Leadership Change
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$13.1m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$409k today
Ends in about 1 month
$13.1m Vol.🔥$409k today$1.3m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$33k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$33k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
47%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.2m Vol.
$253k Liq.
🔥$172k today
11
Ends in 9 months
$12.2m Vol.🔥$172k today$253k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$58.5m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$4.2m today
3
Ends in about 5 hours
$58.5m Vol.🔥$4.2m today$2.5m Liq.3Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.9m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$646k today
4
Ends in 3 months
$22.9m Vol.🔥$646k today$1.5m Liq.4Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes