Debt Ceiling Predictions & Odds· 111 markets
Politics · Economy
Peak US National Debt before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$21k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
93%
$40 trillion
Politics · Economy
US defaults on debt by 2027?
$15k Vol.
$28k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$28k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
25%
Yes
83%
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Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$18k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Economy · Politics
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$8k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$8k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
36%
Yes
76%
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16%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?
$178k Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended
$178k Vol.$0 Liq.13Ended
No
All
Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th?
$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$2k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
All
Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th?
$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$10k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
All
Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4?
$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$3k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Yes
End Tax on Tips
$37 trillion