Department Of Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

W
When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$777k Vol.
$101k Liq.
🔥$75k today
Ends in 27 days

27%

After April 30

H
How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

$1.3m Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ended

99%

52+ days

W
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$43k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 11 days

1%

Yes

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$51k Vol.
$8k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days

17%

Yes

A
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

$28k Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

11%

Yes

T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

$7k Vol.
$877 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

65%

December 31, 2026

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$662k Vol.
$32k Liq.
🔥$133k today
235

98%

Yes

W
When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$1.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

After March 31

W
When will DHS receive full-year funding?

When will DHS receive full-year funding?

$295k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

February 28

W
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Chris Coons

I
ICE forced to unmask by February 28?

ICE forced to unmask by February 28?

$81k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No

W
Will Trump denaturalize any citizen by June 30?

Will Trump denaturalize any citizen by June 30?

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

Yes

T
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?

Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?

$285k Vol.
$0 Liq.
32
Ended

No

M
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by...?

Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by...?

$26k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 27 days

April 30

W
Who will Trump pick for Homeland Security Secretary?

Other

K
Kristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by…?

December 12

K
Kristi Noem out by March 31?

Kristi Noem out by March 31?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
24
Ended

Yes

W
Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?

Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months

Other

W
Will an FBI agent be charged for involvement in Jan 6?

No

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