Economic Forecasting Predictions & Odds· 168 markets
U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$93k Vol.
$29k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$93k Vol.$29k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
35%
June 30
U
US recession by end of 2026?
$1.0m Vol.
$67k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months
$1.0m Vol.$67k Liq.63Ends in 10 months
32%
Yes
G
62%
>2.5%
U
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$160k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$160k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 12 days
99%
Yes
W
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$979k Vol.
$98k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$979k Vol.$98k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.6m Vol.
$151k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.6m Vol.$151k Liq.Ends in 9 months
47%
Pam Bondi
N
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
17
Ends in 10 months
$16k Vol.$8k Liq.17Ends in 10 months
14%
Yes
W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$329k Vol.
$27k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$329k Vol.$27k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
48%
Yes
C
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
$16k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 10 months
$16k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in 10 months
36%
3.0-3.4%
S
35%
0.5–0.9%
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$56 Vol.
$789 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$56 Vol.$789 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
87%
Up
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 11 months
93%
Up
U
35%
800–900B
F
Fed decision in April?
$45.9m Vol.
$4.4m Liq.
🔥$2.2m today
39
Ends in 26 days
$45.9m Vol.🔥$2.2m today$4.4m Liq.39Ends in 26 days
98%
No change
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$15.4m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$140k today
61
Ends in 9 months
$15.4m Vol.🔥$140k today$1.1m Liq.61Ends in 9 months
32%
0 (0 bps)
F
Fed Decision in June?
$5.2m Vol.
$988k Liq.
🔥$81k today
22
Ends in 3 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$81k today$988k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
90%
No change
B
Bank of Japan Decision in April?
$302k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
$302k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 25 days
64%
25 bps increase
B
Bank of England decision in April?
$286k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$286k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in 27 days
89%
No change
F
80%
No change