Emergency Predictions & Odds· 123 markets
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$74k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$19k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
$136k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$136k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$14.8m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$276k today
59
Ends in 9 months
$14.8m Vol.🔥$276k today$1.2m Liq.59Ends in 9 months
37%
0 (0 bps)
64%
December Meeting
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$195k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.$195k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
63%
↓ 3.25%
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$328k Vol.
$16k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$328k Vol.$16k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
48%
Yes
82%
Pause–Pause–Pause
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
$32k Vol.
$11k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$32k Vol.$11k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
75%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$65k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$65k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in 9 months
80%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
$756 Vol.
$712 Liq.
Ended
$756 Vol.$712 Liq.Ended
1%
Yes
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
$544k Vol.
$4k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$544k Vol.$4k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
46%
Yes
24%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$58k Liq.
72
Ends in 9 months
$1.0m Vol.$58k Liq.72Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31