Gpt 4pt5 Predictions & Odds· 115 markets
C
66%
April 17
W
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$335k Vol.
$110k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
$335k Vol.$110k Liq.53Ends in 3 months
51%
Anthropic
C
6%
Yes
O
77%
Yes
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$26k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$26k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
41%
None in 2026
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$7k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
G
83%
December 31, 2026
O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$18k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$18k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
44%
60%+
O
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$845 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$845 Liq.1Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
W
What will happen before GTA VI?
$19.8m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
795
Ends in 4 months
$19.8m Vol.$1.4m Liq.795Ends in 4 months
82%
Drake releases Iceman
W
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$3.0m Vol.
$376k Liq.
65
Ends in 3 months
$3.0m Vol.$376k Liq.65Ends in 3 months
65%
Anthropic
W
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$926k Vol.
$175k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months
$926k Vol.$175k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
51%
Anthropic
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$252k Vol.
$2k Liq.
31
Ended
$252k Vol.$2k Liq.31Ended
31%
Yes
E
Soccer · Sports
English Premier League - Top 4 Finish
$1.6m Vol.
$126k Liq.
18
Ends in about 2 months
$1.6m Vol.$126k Liq.18Ends in about 2 months
100%
Arsenal
C
59%
June 30
H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$677k Vol.
$17k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months
$677k Vol.$17k Liq.9Ends in 12 months
45%
1
C
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B
$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$5k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Skele
G
14%
Yes
D
87%
May 15