Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 112 markets

When will the DHS shutdown end?
$522k Vol.
$144k Liq.
🔥$67k today
Ends in about 1 month
$522k Vol.🔥$67k today$144k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
24%
April 13-16

When will the DHS shutdown end?
$1.7m Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.7m Vol.$82k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
100%
After March 31

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$81k Vol.
$56k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$81k Vol.$56k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
8%
Jacky Rosen

1%
Yes

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17k Vol.
$16k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$16k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30

48%
↓ 19200

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$889 Vol.
$691 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$889 Vol.$691 Liq.Ends in 1 day
46%
↓ 39000

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?
$18k Vol.
$107 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$18k Vol.$107 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
63%
Yes

What price will Ethereum hit in March?
$24.6m Vol.
$2.7m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
Ends in 1 day
$24.6m Vol.🔥$1.1m today$2.7m Liq.Ends in 1 day
1%
↑ 2,400

0%
Yes

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$75k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$75k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
69%
↑ 14,000

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?
$479 Vol.
$300 Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$479 Vol.$300 Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
14%
Yes

98%
<6,000

59%
5,500-6,000

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
$27k Vol.
$2k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 days
$27k Vol.$2k Liq.4Ends in 7 days
35%
81+

Will AAVE V4 go live on mainnet by June 30?
$13k Vol.
$211k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$13k Vol.$211k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
100%
Yes
