Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 112 markets

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$522k Vol.
$144k Liq.
🔥$67k today
Ends in about 1 month

24%

April 13-16

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

$1.1m Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ended

99%

48+ days

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$1.7m Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

100%

After March 31

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

$81k Vol.
$56k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours

8%

Jacky Rosen

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$34k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 14 days

1%

Yes

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

$17k Vol.
$16k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$29k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

41%

April 30

What will DAX (DAX) hit in March?

What will DAX (DAX) hit in March?

$1k Vol.
$749 Liq.
Ends in 1 day

48%

↓ 19200

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?

$889 Vol.
$691 Liq.
Ends in 1 day

46%

↓ 39000

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?

$18k Vol.
$107 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

63%

Yes

What price will Ethereum hit in March?

What price will Ethereum hit in March?

$24.6m Vol.
$2.7m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
Ends in 1 day

1%

↑ 2,400

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 29?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 29?

$1k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended

0%

Yes

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

$22k Vol.
$75k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

69%

↑ 14,000

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?

$899 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ended

3%

Yes

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?

$479 Vol.
$300 Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

14%

Yes

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

$22k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ended

98%

<6,000

Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?

$446 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended

59%

5,500-6,000

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

$27k Vol.
$2k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 days

35%

81+

Will AAVE V4 go live on mainnet by June 30?

Will AAVE V4 go live on mainnet by June 30?

$13k Vol.
$211k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

100%

Yes

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

$232k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down