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Imran Khan Predictions & Odds· 130 markets

AllPoliticsIranFinanceTrumpMiddle EastIsraelStrait Of HormuzOilHouthisShippingStocksRed SeaNuclearGeopoliticsVanceEconomyCommoditiesParlaysApprovalForeign PolicyWorldHouthiUp Or DownKhameneiSPXS&P 500Supreme LeaderRewards 10, 4.5, 50ShipS And PApprovalsWitkoffKushnerNuclear DealReza PahlaviIran RegimeMilitary StrikesIran Offensive StrikesRegional SpilloverIran CeasefireU.S. X IranIsrael X IranAyatollahMojtabaMojtaba KhameneiTankerTrafficHormuzCrudePetroleumSPRKhamenei OutMojtaba OutKharg IslandCape Of Good Hope
M
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Politics·Khamenei

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

$771k Vol.
$92k Liq.
62
Ends in 27 days

9%

June 30

H
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

Geopolitics·shipping

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

$36k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

50%

2–3

W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Geopolitics·Iran Ceasefire

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

$505k Vol.
$173k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months

45%

No Meeting by June 30

I
Iran leadership change by...?

Politics·Mojtaba

Iran leadership change by...?

$6.1m Vol.
$340k Liq.
🔥$105k today
891
Ends in 9 months

34%

December 31

I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Geopolitics·Iran Ceasefire

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$31k Vol.
$8k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

23%

Leadership Change

M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

$838k Vol.
$39k Liq.
123
Ends in 27 days

31%

May 31

I
Iran leader end of 2026?

World·Middle East

Iran leader end of 2026?

$5.9m Vol.
$872k Liq.
73
Ends in 9 months

65%

Mojtaba Khamenei

N
Nothing Ever Happens: April

Geopolitics·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: April

$10k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

33%

Nothing

W
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

$314k Vol.
$69k Liq.
🔥$62k today
9
Ends in 27 days

24%

April 30

B
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Geopolitics·houthi

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

$519k Vol.
$86k Liq.
🔥$50k today
43
Ends in 27 days

24%

April 30

S
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?

Finance·Stocks

S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?

$143k Vol.
$246k Liq.
6
Ended

100%

Yes

C
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

Geopolitics·Oil

Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

$35k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

14%

Yes

W
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?

Economy·crude

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?

$276k Vol.
$159k Liq.
7
Ends in 28 days

19%

375M

T
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Politics·Trump

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours

8%

Up

T
Trump approval rating on April 3?

Politics·Rewards 50, 4.5, 20

Trump approval rating on April 3?

$173k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours

76%

39.5–39.9

H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)

Geopolitics·Rewards 50, 4.5, 20

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)

$52k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 2 days

32%

30-34

U
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

Geopolitics·Iran

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

$1.3m Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ended

60%

June 30

W
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

Politics·Iran

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

$33k Vol.
$66k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months

3%

Yes

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Geopolitics·Iran

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$25.4m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$437k today
16
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Politics·Khamenei

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$11.4m Vol.
$526k Liq.
🔥$319k today
230
Ended

28%

June 30