Intel Predictions & Odds· 134 markets
W
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
$2.2m Vol.
$120k Liq.
🔥$101k today
30
Ends in 9 months
$2.2m Vol.🔥$101k today$120k Liq.30Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
N
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
$6k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
92%
Nothing
W
Crypto · World
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?
$81k Vol.
$718 Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$81k Vol.$718 Liq.31Ends in 9 months
37%
Yes
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$6k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$6k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
U
US forces enter Iran by..?
$99.3m Vol.
$20.0m Liq.
🔥$26.4m today
6,556
$99.3m Vol.🔥$26.4m today$20.0m Liq.6,556
71%
December 31
U
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
I
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
$289k Vol.
$48k Liq.
3
Ends in about 2 months
$289k Vol.$48k Liq.3Ends in about 2 months
19%
May 31
U
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
$77k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$77k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 28 days
39%
June 30
U
US strike on Mexico by...?
$3.3m Vol.
$46k Liq.
164
Ends in 9 months
$3.3m Vol.$46k Liq.164Ends in 9 months
21%
December 31
A
23%
December 31
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.6m Vol.
$160k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.6m Vol.$160k Liq.Ends in 9 months
43%
Pam Bondi
U
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
$29k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$29k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 13 days
19%
Yes
U
31%
December 31
U
20%
December 31
I
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$156k Vol.
$16k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
$156k Vol.$16k Liq.20Ends in 3 months
49%
Yes
T
30%
June 30
H
How many times will the US take military action against Somalia in March?
$792k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$792k Vol.$38k Liq.Ends in 1 day
99%
6-9
U
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$494k Vol.
$26k Liq.
41
Ends in 28 days
$494k Vol.$26k Liq.41Ends in 28 days
7%
Yes
U
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$237k Vol.
$12k Liq.
10
Ends in 28 days
$237k Vol.$12k Liq.10Ends in 28 days
8%
Yes
W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$46k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in 28 days
$46k Vol.$15k Liq.3Ends in 28 days
16%
Yes