International Trade Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

34%
800–900B

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$328k Vol.
$20k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$328k Vol.$20k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes

45%
Yes

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30

Sports · Games
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1) - More Markets
$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$2k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

Sports · Games
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 2) - More Markets
$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$25k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

Sports · Games
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 3) - More Markets
$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$2k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in about 7 hours
$62k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in about 7 hours
98%
Yes

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
$158k Vol.
$226k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$158k Vol.$226k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
India

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 4 days
40%
60-79

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes

Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
$19k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 23 hours
84%
60-79

US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$81k Vol.
$28k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$28k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
38%
June 30

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$578 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
47%
60-79

Sports · Games
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 3) - Team Top Batter
$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$1k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
$39k Vol.
$22k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$39k Vol.$22k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes

Sports · Games
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1) - Team Top Batter
$173 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$173 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
$415k Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in about 7 hours
$415k Vol.$10k Liq.25Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
